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US BONDS

Yield Curve Analysis

Bondonomics

RISK OF RECESSION History Is Not on Our Side

This is the danger zone. The bond yield curve was inverted for a while and has just started to normalize — a pattern that has reliably preceded major market crashes in the past. On top of that, if the Fed Funds Rate is dropping fast, it often means the economy is already slipping. Historically, this combo is the market's version of a flashing neon warning sign. Buckle up — we're likely within a year of a possible downturn.

Bond Spread Vs FED Funds Rate

One goes up as the other goes down
Understanding Why is vital

US Bond Curve Analysis

Use slider to see the Bond Curve
on any week back to 1963

Slide back in time and learn from the past...